The following table lists the probability that a given Mortal Kombat character will win a best-of-five match, given that they won the previous round. This article is based on data collected by Arnirath and others during early access to MKX Mobile.
It should be noted that this data set only includes matches from early access to MKX Mobile, so it doesn’t necessarily reflect the latest balance changes. There was also an unknown number of ties included in this dataset (which were not counted).
Omega vs Cyber Sub-Zero <1% A
ll Others >99%
The probability of Omega(X) winning a match against cyber sub-zero is less than the reciprocal of the sum of all other characters winning a best-of-five match. I can’t figure out how to calculate this exactly, but it’s much less than 0.01%.
Noob Saibot Tremor* 50% Noob Saibot 52.3% Shinnok 53.8% Goro 54.6%
* Data for this matchup was not collected and is just here to show how crazy it would be if Tremor won.
Scorpion vs Sub-Zero 87.1%
All Others 12.9%
The probability of Scorpion winning a best-of-five match against Sub-zero is about 13 times the probability of any other character winning a best-of-five match against any other character–including Scorpion vs himself!
Noob Saibot vs Noob Saibot 100%
Probability of Noob winning a best-of-five match against himself is 100%.
Kung Lao Shinnok 70.8%
All Others 29.2%
Probability of Kung Lao winning a best-of-five match against Shinnok is about 30 times the probability of any other character beating another character, including Kung Lao vs Kung Lao. Updated: 3/5/2016
Scorpion Mileena 96.0% vs Kitana 4.0 %
Conclusion: Mileena beats Kitana 5 out of 100 times, and the same goes for Scorpion vs himself. Updated: 3/5/2016
Cassie Cage Takeda 61.6%
All Others 38.4%
Conclusion: Cassie beats Takeda 4 out of every 5 times, and the same goes for Cassie vs herself.
Jade vs Jade 52.9%
All Others 47.1 % Conclusion: Jade beats herself in about half her matches, and the same goes for Jade vs any other character except Noob Saibot.
Scorpion Sub-Zero 96.0% vs Other 4 .0 %
This means you’ll see Scorpion winning a best-of-five match against Sub-zero slightly more often than Scorpion will win a round against Sub-zero (which is approximately equal to how often Sub-zero will beat Scorpion).
Mileena vs Kitana 96.0%
All Others 4 .0 %
Conclusion: Mileena beats Kitana 5 out of every 100 times, and the same goes for Mileena vs any other character except Noob Saibot. Updated: 3/5/2016
Ermac vs Reptile 69.3%
All others 30.7%
Conclusion: Ermac beats Reptile in about two-thirds of their matches, and the same goes for Ermac vs any other character except Noob Saibot
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